Friday, December 14, 2012

Geography 169- Final Project


 
Land Degradation and Deforestation in Southwest Madagascar
Analysis of Forest Cover Change Through Satellite Images


Joo Yung Seo*
Dr. Thomas W. Gillespie
* Department of Geography, University of California, Los Angeles
14 December 2012

Figure 1: Physical land cover of Madagascar



Introduction

Madagascar, the fourth largest island in the world, is located off the southeastern coast of Africa. The land consists of different ecosystems, ranging from tropical, desert, high mountain ranges, spiny desert, rain forest, and dry and wet forest. Madagascar is also home to some of the world’s most diverse forests (Clark, 2010). These unique ecosystems host a tremendous number of diverse and exotic species with a high level of endemism. However, the island has been heavily affected by the arrival of humans, who caused the rapid disappearance of the forests due to unsustainable practices. According to 2005 World Bank figures, Madagascar is among the world’s poorest countries, with a gross national income per capita at about US $290 (Gorenflo et al., 2011). Consequently, people have depleted the country’s natural resources in an attempt to make profits.

The most active resource extraction in Madagascar is deforestation. According to the World Wildlife Fund, after humans arrived 2,000 years ago, 90% of the Madagascar forest cover was lost (“Madagascar Forests”). Additionally, deforestation is still ongoing. Some of the main causes of deforestation include expansion of cropland (agricultural conversion), cattle grazing, timber wood export, fuel wood collection, and pasture land (Casse, 2004). The problem with continuing land degradation and deforestation is that it destroys the whole ecosystem, fragments species habitat, destroys the natural food chain, increases erosion and flooding, increases greenhouse gases, and decreases oxygen. Therefore, it is important to keep the forest healthy to avoid catastrophic consequences. 

            Decreasing forest cover is a serious issue in Madagascar, as the forest is in desperate need of recovery. There already have been several studies regarding deforestation in Madagascar that used satellite images and remote sensing. Sussman, Green, and Sussman’s (1994) “Satellite Imagery, Human Ecology, Anthropology, and Deforestation in Madagascar” used historical aerial photos and recent satellite photos to examine the history of deforestation in the eastern rain forest in Madagascar, while Green and Sussman’s (1990) “Deforestation History of the Eastern Rain Forests of Madagascar from Satellite Images” used satellite imagery of the eastern rain forest, western forest, and the southern forest of Madagascar to identify the reasons for deforestation. This research paper will focus on forest change, especially the decreased forest cover on the southwest side of Madagascar. It will examine whether there has been a significant change in forest cover (and reduction of the forest size) between the years 1993 and 2007.



Study Area
The study area is in Madagascar, an island off the southeastern coast of Africa, which is separated by the Indian Ocean. The study will specifically look at the southwest part of Madagascar, a region called Atsimo Andrefana. This region is around 24°6' S and 44°3' E (lat/long). Atsimo Andrefana’s area is about 25,574 square miles (“Atsimo Andrefana”). There are many dry forests and arid areas in that region. The study area seems to have gone through major vegetation change (Figure 1).



Method

The first step of the analysis was downloading the raw data from the Internet. Landsat satellite images were used to examine the problems and examine the change in the forest’s greenness over a period of time. I went to glovis.usgs.gov/ to download the Landsat data. I chose an area from the southwestern part of Madagascar and came up with the point of 24° 6' S and 44° 3' E. I went through different time series to finalize two sets of data from the same time period with which to run the comparison of deforested areas. Geotiff files of the year 1993 (L4-5 TM) and 2007 (L7 ETM+ SLC-off) from April were chosen to be analyzed.  

After downloading the data, a remote sensing program called “Environment for Visualizing Images” (ENVI) was used to put the raw data all together. I used the “layer stacking” function to import the bands to combine the data, and I used the “data manager” to choose bands upon which to work. I chose visible bands, 3-4-3, to see the greenness of each year’s data. Two maps (year 1993 and 2007) were then created, showing green where there was vegetation and pink where there was none. After that, I found the greenness and vegetation amount of each year (1993 and 2007) through the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), which gave values from -1 to 1 to show how much vegetation was in a certain area (Figure 2). I made two NDVI files by clicking on “spectral” and then “vegetation” to get to NDVI function in order to see the vegetation greenness of each image. I selected the layer-stacked file of each year, changed the NDVI bands of red to 1 and near-IR to 2, and saved it as a new file.


After completing this step to make two NDVI images of year 1993 and year 2007, I combined those two images to see the actual greenness change. I clicked on “change detection” and then clicked on “change detection difference map” to compute the differences in the maps and then clicked on data manager to display it. This resulted in one image that combined the two images of year 1993 and 2007 to show the change of greenness over time. I changed the color of the difference of change to the green color series to show the decreased level of vegetation (from a 1%-5% decrease, including “no change” of vegetation as well. 

In order to make a more complete analysis, I used the ArcGIS program to make maps of Madagascar to relate it to satellite imagery outcomes. I downloaded polygon data of Madagascar, nature reserves (protected areas), and fire data to explain how deforestation is related to human activity. A natural reserve shapefile could be found through protectedplanet.net, a website that offers information on all protected areas around the world. I chose a suitable protected area that matched my satellite image information. The fire data were downloaded from NASA Earth data, (EOSDIS), which gives access to the most recent active fire data of Madagascar. After organizing all the ENVI and ArcGIS images, I pulled out 20 locations from the change detection result of the years 1993 and 2007 (excluding the areas in the Tsimanampetsotse nature reserve) to make a line graph. I also pulled out 20 locations inside the Tsimanampetsotse nature reserve to see how the vegetation has changed inside the park, where a high level of biodiversity is concentrated. After pulling out the 20 points, I made a chart and graphs through Excel. Last, I took images from Google Earth to see forest change through different time ranges. 

 

Results
Figure 3:Greenness and NDVI of year 1993 and 2007

In Figure 3, Image 1 is almost all covered in green, but image 2 is partially covered with green vegetation and largely covered with pink, meaning that vegetation has gone from that part. This result shows how the greenness of the vegetation cover has declined dramatically from 1993 to 2007. Images 3 and 4 show the greenness of the vegetation value from -1 to 1. If the color is whiter, it means that there is more greenness in the vegetation (towards value of 1), and if the color is towards black, it means that the greenness value is very low (close to value of -1). Images 3 and 4 show how the greenness has decreased from 1993 to 2007.  

Figure 4: Change detection result of years 1993 and 2007 (decrease of forest from 1%-5%)

Figure 4 shows the decrease of greenness from 1% to 5%, which resulted from change detection of years 1993 and 2007. It shows how a 1% change made a dramatic change on the forest cover in southwest Madagascar. The result shows that the forest has changed distinctively from 1993 to 2007. Also, it shows how a 5% decrease of forest is significantly critical for the ecosystem and the environment of forests in southwest Madagascar.

Figure 5: Close up- change detection result

Figure 5 is similar to Figure 4, but it is a more close up image of the area. This result particularly looks at the Tsimanampetsotse nature reserve and its surroundings in order to assess the greenness value change. The result shows that greenness has significantly decreased inside the park, showing how deforestation happens in the nature reserves, potentially affecting animal species as well. 

Table 1: Greenness value difference

In Table 1, the numbers ranging between -1 and 1 are the outcome of NDVI change detection; the higher the greenness, the closer the NDVI change will be to 1, and the lower the greenness, the closer it will be to -1. The table shows the 20 locations inside and outside the Tsimanampetsotse nature reserve. The result shows that the greenness value in 1993 was higher than it was in 2007 in all places.

Figure 6: Deforested area in Southwest Madagascar

Figure 6 shows the results for a selected area in southwest Madagascar. The four images show the greenness change through NDVI, an actual satellite image, and the past satellite image. The area had been forested and green, but the forest was eradicated due to cutting. The line graph is the result of the table (Table 1), showing that each point had more greenness in 1993, but as time passed, the amount of vegetation dropped. 

Figure 7: Deforested area matching with recent fire, table- greenness difference in Tsimanampetsotse Park






            Figure 7 shows the result of the recent fire that occurred near the Tsimanampetsotse nature reserve. This is to show how fire is related to decrease forest cover. The next image shows how the NDVI results for 1993 and 2007 match the recent fire data, showing that there was fire in the past as well. In fact, the satellite image in the bottom shows how the forest is cleared due to fire and clear-cutting. 

Discussion 

Deforestation in southwest Madagascar was evident in most of the areas. The results showed that the decrease of forest cover was still occurring due to clear-cutting and fires caused by human activity. The results also showed that the value of greenness dropped significantly from 1993 to 2007, suggesting that the continuing deforestation will expand and will be a threat to nature and the surrounding environment. Using the ENVI program and doing NDVI processes helped to determine the forest reduction rate in southwest Madagascar and whether it was caused by human activity. The change detection process allowed assessment of the real changes in the forest and analysis of the rate of greenness inside and outside the Tsimanampetsotse nature reserve. In addition, combining my work with Google Earth worked well to show that the particular study area was correlated with humans cutting the forest. 

What did not really work was combining the recent fire data, because I needed older fire data to compare with the exact time frame, which was year 1993 and 2007, but the data were not available. It would have been more helpful to have older fire data to match with years 1993 and 2007 to compare with the NDVI results for both years.

Southwest Madagascar is known for deforestation issues; however, this issue was not examined by using satellite imagery. Thus, it was interesting to interpret satellite imagery to examine the forest cover change in this area, to compare the time series data, and to combine GIS knowledge and Google earth to get more accurate result. As the work "Causes of Deforestation in Southwestern Madagascar: What Do We Know?" (Casse, 2004) suggests, deforestation rate and its causes can be studied and be learned; however, if there are visible images, it can be much helpful to understand and apply our knowledge unto the real life. Therefore, in the future, more satellite images will aid to conduct researches in subjects such as deforestation, especially using higher resolution satellite images. 

People in Madagascar realize that cutting down trees and taking down the forest is bad for the environment and the ecosystem; however, they cannot stop this action because they highly depend on the forest for economical reasons. Deforestation continues because of people’s demand, but it is important for them to realize that forest won’t last long if deforestation continues, leading into a serious challenge to solve in the future.

References
Atismo-Andrefana. (2012, September 12). Retrieved November 11, 2012, from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atsimo-Andrefana 
Casse, T. Milhoj, A., Ranaivoson, S., & Randriamanarivo, J. R. (2004). Causes of deforestation in Southwestern Madagascar: What do we know? Forest Policy and Economics, 6(1),
33-48.
Gorenflo, L. J., Corson, C., Chomitz, K. M., Harper, G., Honzak, M., & Ozler, B. (2011). Human population: Its influences on biological diversity. Berlin: Springer.
Green, G. M., & Sussman, R. W. (1990). Deforestation history of the eastern rain forests of Madagascar from satellite images. Science, 248(4952), 212-215.
Madagascar forests and shrublands¾A global ecoregion. (n.d.). Retrieved November 10, 2012, from http://wwf.panda.org/about_our_earth/ecoregions/madagascar_forests.cfm 
Megan, C. (2012). Deforestation in Madagascar: Consequences of population growth and unsustainable agricultural processes. Global Majority E-Journal , 3(1), 61-71.
Sussman, R. W., Green, G. M., & Sussman, L. K. (1994). Satellite imagery, human ecology, anthropology, and deforestation in Madagascar. Human Ecology, 22(3), 333-354.